Prediction Markets

This page collects the 42 public records POLISCOPE has tagged with “Prediction Markets”. Coverage spans news coverage - each decoded into plain English and linked to its primary source. It most often overlaps with Ethics, Insider Trading, and George Santos.

1. Thu, Sep 101 item
   1. BadCredit.org survey reports 79% of prediction-market users lost money and 44 states argue platforms constitute gamblingA new survey indicates that 79% of prediction-market users have lost money over the past year, with over half borrowing funds via credit cards or personal loans to continue betting. Meanwhile, 44 statHillsborough County
2. Tue, Sep 81 item
   1. Election-season trading on prediction markets increases while states challenge platformsElection-season trading on prediction markets is increasing significantly in major races. Meanwhile, states are attempting to outlaw the platforms as unlicensed casinos and raising concerns about theiMiami-Dade County
3. Mon, Aug 315 items
   1. Kalshi bans George Santos for life and fines him $71,356 for betting on his own attendance at State of the UnionPrediction market platform Kalshi has issued a lifetime ban and a $71,356 fine against former congressman George Santos after determining he misled the public about his attendance at the State of the San Diego County
   2. Kalshi bans George Santos for life and fines Laurie Buckhout over prediction market betsMiami-Dade County
   3. Kalshi bans George Santos and fines Laurie Buckhout for prediction market tradingMiami-Dade County
   4. Kalshi bans former Congressman George Santos for life over insider trading allegationsMiami-Dade County
   5. Kalshi bans George Santos for life and imposes $71,356 penalty for alleged insider tradingMiami-Dade County
4. Sat, Aug 291 item
   1. Former White House teleprompter operator ordered to pay $165,000 in insider trading settlementA former White House teleprompter operator must forfeit over $100,000 in profits and pay a $65,000 fine to settle federal insider trading allegations involving the prediction market Kalshi. The settleMiami-Dade County2 reports

1. 01Donald Trumpperson8 mentions
2. 02Kalshiorganization8 mentions
3. 03George Santosperson6 mentions
4. 04Commodity Futures Trading Commissionorganization6 mentions
5. 05Polymarketorganization4 mentions
6. 06Kalshiorganization4 mentions
7. 07Polymarketorganization3 mentions
8. 08Polymarketorganization2 mentions
9. 09Commodity Futures Trading Commissionorganization2 mentions
10. 10Todd Youngperson2 mentions