POLISCOPE

Alaska · U.S. SenateBefore Election Day

Who’s winning the Alaska Senate race?

Markets: 69% chance Republicans win

Lean D · POLISCOPE modelSeat held by Republicans
Updated 1s ago · auto-refreshing
Dan S. SullivanR · Republican
Daniel J. Jr. SullivanR · Republican

No official votes counted yet. Tallies appear here as soon as the state reports.

Official count

Awaiting

No official votes counted yet. Polls close at 12:00 AM ET (last 1:00 AM ET) on Nov. 3.

Polls

No public polls of this race.

PollsterEndednMargin
Data for ProgressOct 16671D+2.0
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 31,512D+2.0
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 1504D+7.0
Quantus InsightsSep 30758R+0.6
co/efficientSep 17799R+3.0
Alaska Survey ResearchSep 121,352D+4.6
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchSep 11800D+6.0
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchSep 11800D+5.0

Prediction markets

Sullivan 69%

Chance to win · polymarket, kalshi · $1,126,522 liquidity · 12 min ago

Oct 22Now R 69%
Open the market ↗

POLISCOPE model: D 62% to win · margin D+1.8

The candidates

  • Dan S. Sullivan

    R · Republican

    Full profile →
  • Daniel J. Jr. Sullivan

    R · Republican

  • Gerald L. Heikes

    R · Republican

  • Mary Peltola

    D · Democratic

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Alaska Senate race news

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