
NewsLos Angeles Times – CaliforniaOctober 30, 2026Los Angeles County
Poll shows Xavier Becerra leading governor's race as voter priorities shift toward national politics
Photo: Los Angeles Times – California
A new poll shows Democratic candidate Xavier Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton 61% to 34% in the California governor's race just days before the Nov. 3 election. The survey indicates that pushing back against the Trump administration has overtaken the cost of living as the top priority for likely voters.
Read the full story at Los Angeles Times – CaliforniaWhy It Matters
The survey results measure voter preferences and priorities heading into the final days of the election, with 1,477 likely voters surveyed between Oct. 19 and Sunday ahead of the Nov. 3 vote to replace outgoing Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Key Facts
- Xavier Becerra holds a 61% to 34% lead over Steve Hilton among likely California voters in a new IGS poll.
- Becerra's lead increased from a 25-percentage-point margin in a September IGS survey.
- 40% of likely voters selected pushing back against the Trump administration as their top election priority, while 34% cited reducing the cost of living.
- In a mid-September survey, 44% of likely voters listed the cost of living as a top issue and 37% listed fighting Trump.
- Voters younger than 50 were more likely to name the cost of living as a top issue, while voters 50 and older focused more on Trump's policies.
- 53% of likely voters view Becerra favorably and 41% view him unfavorably.
- 56% of likely voters view Hilton unfavorably and 34% have a positive opinion of him.
- 90% of Democrats and 80% of unaffiliated voters expect Becerra to win, while half of Republicans and 58% of MAGA identifiers expect Hilton to win.
- If elected, Becerra would become California's first elected Latino governor and the first Latino in the office in 150 years.
- 58% of likely voters and 52% of Latino voters believe electing the state's first Latino governor is either 'not too important' or 'not at all important.'
- The online poll surveyed 1,477 likely voters from a sample of 2,787 registered voters between Oct. 19 and Sunday, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
Who's Mentioned
OrganizationUC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies“Poll sponsor”PersonG. Cristina Mora“IGS Co-Director”OrganizationFox News“Former employer of Steve Hilton”PersonGavin Newsom“Current California Governor”PersonXavier Becerra“Democratic candidate for governor”PersonSteve Hilton“Republican candidate for governor”OrganizationLos Angeles Times“Poll co-sponsor”locationCalifornia“State holding the gubernatorial election”PersonMark DiCamillo“IGS Poll Director”
